Monday, January 12, 2009

From Russia with love.

Some of you may have heard about the prediction of a Russian scholar who has been very successful in the past in predicting geo-political trends and events. His prediction is that the upcoming currency collapse, amoung other things, will cause the US to split into several smaller nations.

A Russian professor and former KGB analyst, Igor Panarin, is still receiving international attention for his prediction made a decade ago that the United States will disintegrate by next year, Jerome Corsi's Red Alert reports.

Panarin claims mass immigration, economic decline, moral degradation and an inevitable dollar collapse will trigger a U.S. civil war by fall, followed by a complete break-up by 2010.

Corsi's Red Alert is a subscription only intelligence and public policy briefing read by everyone who is anyone in government and big business. But fortunately for us, here is a map from the Wall Street Journal detailing that prediction:

When I first heard of this prediction a while back, I did wonder which way my state would lean. I presume the scholar has good reasons for placing each "border" state in one particular region or another.

James Howard Kunstler, urban planning critic and peak oil activist had also predicted the breakup of the US, but as far as I know he hadn't specifically mapped out any concrete theory on which areas would align with each other - he simply predicts smaller, more governable regions will develop. His books, "The Long Emergency" and "World Made by Hand" speculate along these lines.

It is, of course, entirely credible that China could seize territory in the US Northwest to cover defaults on the Trillions of Dollars of US debt that China holds - and there wouldn't be much we could do about it, since their missiles easily reach the US Western states. We could be given a choice - hand over the territories or they'll be nuked so no one can have them (and the fallout would travel towards our eastern states, too). We obviously lack the capacity to raise enough taxes to settle our debt, and assets such as land is all we have left to pay up.

I would have to say I disagree about some of the other lines on his map. For example, southern California and Arizona are considered by Mexico to be part of their territory, and a large group of Mexicans is actively engaged in "retaking" this territory through mass immigration - they are organized and well funded, too. So I think those states westward through Louisiana would be more likely to be controlled by Mexico - I don't think Mexico has any real interest in Mississippi or Alabama, or even Florida, really. I think those states may join together, somewhat following the lines of the old confederacy, to form a sixth nation not shown on this map. I don't know whether Tennessee and Kentucky would join it or remain with the Atlantic States - Tennessee might join the south, Kentucky might not (at least that's how it shook out during the Civil War). I think modern analysts underestimate how deep the feelings are in the South about the "War of Northern Agression." I believe it is more likely they will band together in a separate group than join with a Mexico-aligned contingent farther west.

That's just my opinion, of course. Far be it from me to insist a well-regarded world-renowned intelligence analyst might be wrong, LOL. Maybe he knows something I don't.


TH in SoC said...

Ahavah, you said, "For example, southern California and Arizona are considered by Mexico to be part of their territory, and a large group of Mexicans is actively engaged in "retaking" this territory through mass immigration - they are organized and well funded, too." That got my curiosity. What are your sources of information?

Ahavah Gayle said...

Go to google and type in "aztlan" - this is what they have named that south-west US states that they claim and you will find all sorts of group and articles on the subject.

Ahavah Gayle said...

Wiki says this:

Use by the Chicano Movement

Main article: Chicano movement

The unofficial flag of Aztlán, used by Chicano nationalists in San Diego and Denver during the Chicano Movement.

The concept of Aztlán as the place of origin of the pre-Columbian Mexican civilization has become a symbol for various Mexican nationalist and indigenous movements.

The name Aztlán was first taken up by a group of Chicano independence activists led by Oscar Zeta Acosta during the Chicano movement of the 1960s and 1970s. They used the name "Aztlán" to refer to the lands of Northern Mexico that were annexed by the United States as a result of the Mexican-American War. Combined with the claim of some historical linguists and anthropologists that the original homeland of the Aztecan peoples was located in the southwestern United States, Aztlán in this sense became a symbol of mestizo activists who believe they have a legal and primordial right to the land.

Groups who have used the name "Aztlán" in this manner include Plan Espiritual de Aztlán, MEChA (Movimiento Estudiantil Chicano de Aztlán, "Chicano Student Movement of Aztlán"), and the Nation of Aztlán (NOA).

Many in the Chicano Movement attribute poet Alurista for popularizing the term Aztlán in a poem presented during the Chicano Youth Liberation Conference in Denver, Colorado, March 1969.